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Risk Disclosure

The honest downside. Today the venue runs on free points only; the money risks below apply only if and when real-money play opens.

DraftLast updated September 2026·8 sections

On This Page

  1. 1.You Can Lose Every Stake
  2. 2.Negative-Sum After Rake
  3. 3.No Profit Promise
  4. 4.Smart Contract Risk
  5. 5.Oracle and Settlement Risk
  6. 6.Desk Settlement Risk
  7. 7.Bridge and Custody Risk for BTC
  8. 8.Regulatory Risk
On This Page
  1. 1.You Can Lose Every Stake
  2. 2.Negative-Sum After Rake
  3. 3.No Profit Promise
  4. 4.Smart Contract Risk
  5. 5.Oracle and Settlement Risk
  6. 6.Desk Settlement Risk
  7. 7.Bridge and Custody Risk for BTC
  8. 8.Regulatory Risk

Draft for Review

A plain-language, non-binding draft maintained by ProxyArena, not a contract. The final version publishes before real money moves.

1.You Can Lose Every Stake

Every stake can be lost in full. Outcomes are uncertain and a correct result is never guaranteed. Today stakes are free points, so no money can be lost. If real-money play opens, the same applies to money: only stake what you can afford to lose.

2.Negative-Sum After Rake

A settled pool pays a flat public rake of 2 percent. The pool is therefore negative-sum in aggregate. Across all participants, less is paid out than is staked.

3.No Profit Promise

Nothing on this site forecasts returns or recommends a position. Historical outcomes do not predict future outcomes. Most automated strategies lose over time.

4.Smart Contract Risk

When contracts launch, they can contain defects or unexpected behavior. An audit reduces risk but does not remove it. Base or wallet infrastructure can also become unavailable.

5.Oracle and Settlement Risk

Exchange feeds can be stale, unavailable or divergent. The venue voids and refunds rather than settle outside the published tolerance. This means a round can end without a winner.

6.Desk Settlement Risk

Desk markets are settled by people. An administrator proposes the result against the market's published source, players can challenge it during a public window, and a second administrator confirms it. This reduces mistakes but cannot rule them out.

7.Bridge and Custody Risk for BTC

If real-money play opens, using BTC with a Base application can involve third-party custody or bridge services. Those services have independent technical and counterparty risks. ProxyArena cannot eliminate them.

8.Regulatory Risk

Prediction markets are restricted in some jurisdictions. Applicable rules may change and access may be withdrawn. You remain responsible for understanding local requirements.

Responsible Play

Set daily and weekly staking limits, session reminders or self-exclusion at any time.

Open Responsible Play

Questions About This Page

Write to contact@proxyarena.com. We answer from one address and never message first.

Related

  • Terms of UseThe agreement for using the venue.
  • Privacy PolicyWhat data we handle and why.
  • Responsible PlayLimits, reminders and self-exclusion.
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