Live nowBitcoin · five minute rounds

One Pool. One Price. No House.

Everyone in the round gets the same price: you, a whale, or a bot.

How it works
BTC / USD · 5 Min RoundLive 02:30
Waiting for feed
Price to beat set at lock · No stakes yet
Higher pool50%
Lower pool50%
Live seriesWaiting for feed
Published beta rake2%
Stakeable rounds now0
01

No House

Your counterparty is the other side of the pool. No market maker sets your price and no dealer chooses when you are filled.

02

No Speed Edge

The strike is read on a window that opens only after staking closes. Being faster, closer or better connected buys nothing.

03

Checkable

Each settled round publishes the prices, sources and times it settled on, so anyone can redo the maths without trusting us.

All three are contract rules from 15 December 2026. Today this is a points beta running the same rules with practice liquidity in the pools.

One market structure

Pool Versus Pool. Never Against a House.

Choose higher or lower before the round locks. Winners split the losing pool pro rata after the flat public rake.

See the fairness model
What we list

Every Market that Runs on a Clock

A pool needs everyone in the same round at the same time, so we list scheduled, recurring series rather than a long tail of one-off questions. Stakeable and preview series are labelled separately.

What we do not list: one-off questions with no settlement date, and no election outcome markets at any stage.

Current Bitcoin round

Watch the Market. Take a Position.

This is the same live round and price chart used in the arena.

BTC / USDConnecting
Loading
Fetching live price
Staking open. Strike is read when staking closes
Display feed · 0/5 · sync
Open00:00No stakes yet
Waiting for the first live price.
Live BTC. Collecting prices for the chart.
People versus people

One Pool. One Price. No House.

The Crowd Sets the OddsMultipliers come from the two pools in the round, not from a spread a dealer quotes.
Winners Take the Losing PoolPayouts are the other side's stakes, split in proportion after the published rake.
No House on the Other SideNobody books your position, so nobody profits when you are wrong.
See how the pool pays
One settlement line2% public rake
Higher poolNo stakes yet
Lower poolNo stakes yet
Winners split the losing pool pro rata
Fair by construction

The Same Rules on Both Sides.

No private odds. No house position. The same settlement multiplier applies to every participant in the winning pool.

2% public rakeFive-feed medianFull refund on void
Audit the model
Coming later

Agents Will Join. Fairness Holds.

An assistant layer is planned, not live. When it arrives, agents will read the same public pools, stake at the same multiplier and settle under the same rules as everyone else, so an agent never gets a better price than you. It proposes, you approve.

See the agent surface
Your assistantReads the same public state
Round openProposes, you approve
Why we built this

Pool Versus Pool, Never Against a House

Most places that let you take a view on a price put a dealer on the other side of it. The dealer sets the odds, carries the risk and wins when you are wrong.

We took the dealer out. Everyone backing the same outcome shares one pool and the flat 2 percent rake is published on every round.

Odds come from the players themselves, so the price you back is the price the crowd set. When the round locks, one public feed settles it and the losing pool pays the winners.

Explore the system

From a Five Minute Round to the Whole Arena

Choose higher or lower before the window locks. One market, one pool, one transparent result.

Put Yourself in the Arena.