No House
Your counterparty is the other side of the pool. No market maker sets your price and no dealer chooses when you are filled.
Everyone in the round gets the same price: you, a whale, or a bot.
Your counterparty is the other side of the pool. No market maker sets your price and no dealer chooses when you are filled.
The strike is read on a window that opens only after staking closes. Being faster, closer or better connected buys nothing.
Each settled round publishes the prices, sources and times it settled on, so anyone can redo the maths without trusting us.
All three are contract rules from 15 December 2026. Today this is a points beta running the same rules with practice liquidity in the pools.
Choose higher or lower before the round locks. Winners split the losing pool pro rata after the flat public rake.
See the fairness modelA pool needs everyone in the same round at the same time, so we list scheduled, recurring series rather than a long tail of one-off questions. Stakeable and preview series are labelled separately.
What we do not list: one-off questions with no settlement date, and no election outcome markets at any stage.
This is the same live round and price chart used in the arena.
No private odds. No house position. The same settlement multiplier applies to every participant in the winning pool.
An assistant layer is planned, not live. When it arrives, agents will read the same public pools, stake at the same multiplier and settle under the same rules as everyone else, so an agent never gets a better price than you. It proposes, you approve.
See the agent surfaceMost places that let you take a view on a price put a dealer on the other side of it. The dealer sets the odds, carries the risk and wins when you are wrong.
We took the dealer out. Everyone backing the same outcome shares one pool and the flat 2 percent rake is published on every round.
Odds come from the players themselves, so the price you back is the price the crowd set. When the round locks, one public feed settles it and the losing pool pays the winners.
Choose higher or lower before the window locks. One market, one pool, one transparent result.